Do you have any favorite times of year to visit Disneyland? Hearing your feedbackeven when you disagree with usis both interesting to us and helpful to other readers, so please share your thoughts below in the comments! These monthly guides offer info & tips about special events weather, prices, reservations, and more. (For example, most districts in Utah share a common fall break, and that long weekend gets really bad.) Such an approach would do readers a disservice, and wed strongly caution you against over-reliance on any Walt Disney World crowd calendars. Notify me of followup comments via e-mail. So if Disney is requiring reservations what are the limits?! Were not sure what happened, but we think that it might have been families taking vacations that they had rescheduled from August. But, a pass at WDW might be niceer this time around. March is not listed on the crowd calendar. Our professional statisticians have studied theme park crowds for over 10 years, and we're excited to provide you the best planning . If youre thinking of visiting Japan for the first time and are overwhelmed with planning, definitely check out our Tokyo Disney Resort Planning Guide. Trying to decide on best week to go Sunday-Thursday from late September through late January. In a normal year, without capacity capped, the former peak season dates would be far busier. Our guess ispretty aggressively. We will be going Feb 5-12 2023 & hoping for shorter wait times & less crowds! But I might also find myself with a longer afternoon nap break, and a more pleasant day. No Airplane, and resort or non-resort stay in Florida. So, if you have a poncho or umbrella and want lower than normal crowds, a rainy day is the perfect time to go. As we look forward to this upcoming winter and spring, theres another monkey wrench that could totally upend the 2023 Disneyland crowd calendars. Again, Presidents Day week is an exception to the seasonal rates, as hotel prices spike for that week, too. Subscribers can use the. On the 3rd Monday in March, the sum of the error from all the parks is -2, and the resort-wide error is 0. (Updated October 23, 2022.). Instagram, Blog It was interesting to see Halloween go but nothing around Thanksgiving. Genie will fix everything, Ive heard. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any other way associated with The Walt Disney Company. At the beginning of the year, crowds & wait times were much higher than expected. Its mostly just pin releases, art signings, and other minor merchandise happenings. However, after you play around with dates for a bit, your comfort level should quickly grow, and you can start playing around with other features and looking at other info thats provided. There are also growing fears that the U.S. economy is heading for a recession, or at least a correction or slowdown. Above is the legend for those crowd numbers, as amusingly translated by Google. Your email address will not be published. The end result is a lot of day-to-day variance based on staffing levels and park reservation refills. June is hot, humid, and rainy but the crowds are not typically overly crowded, especially during the weekdays. Looking forward to my kids thinking Im the best at Disney stuff outside of Florida without knowing its really just reading a blog. Over the last couple years, weve seen a gradual erosion of accuracy on the AOKSoft Tokyo Disneyland Crowd Calendar. The measurement that I used for ranking is On Target prediction, which is the percentage of days with prediction error between -1 and 1. Errors of only +/- a single crowd level are not colored at all since we consider those to be good enough. And no one can. Take a look at the chart below, which is a snapshot from April 28 that shows how far in advance Park Passes sold out for each date. Park Passes are still sold out every day in most parks, but now were seeing mostly 2-3 in Magic Kingdom, just 1 in Hollywood Studios, and also a max of 1 at Animal Kingdom. This is incredibly relevant to Disneyland crowd calendars because if reservations run out, there isnt much variance in crowds at all. I dont see that any of the comments left here are being answered, so not sure if anyone is reading the requests? I will add that Disneyland was not open the whole year that WDW was opened. Waited 2 hours for Rise. The answer is in how the crowd levels are calculated. Second, issues with staffing. I also was wondering about something It was my SILs first visit, got the button but no one acknowledged it. The New Orleans Metro area schools typically get 9 days off (Sat before Mardi Gras through the entire Mardi Gras week, closing on the Sunday after Mardi Gras). Cast Members) to weekends, while also releasing more park reservations for those dates. Its because of the increase in attraction capacity that we saw in May. Also, Dorian(?) Can you add this, pretty please? (*Though I do realize that I dont pick parks randomly. Any questions? If youre a night owl, days with shorter hours may be a bad idea, as by the time you roll out of bed, you may find that you only have a few hours to enjoy the parks. Although schools do vary their Spring Break schedules, dont expect the parks to be any less busy because of somewhat-staggered Spring Breaks. We also noted a lot of school aged kids. Accordingly, what were going to do here is give you the tools to choose the best days to visit Disneylandand the worst days to avoid. We did buy Maxpass to get the most out of our trip, and have 3 park days. To assess accuracy, we calculate the average posted wait time between 11 AM and 5 PM and compare that to our predicted average wait time for that time period. We limited a lot in August & September after really enjoying a quiet, hopeful June. We are prepared for crowds and will do a lot of half day trips at the park. Help Consequently, it seems increasingly likely that Disneyland will experience its own slowdown in demand at some point in the not-too-distant future. In addition to Tokyoites, people from other major cities in Japan also descend upon Tokyo Disney Resort for the weekends, which is why hotel rates are often double the cost for Friday and Saturday nights than any other day of the week. Epcot! In the first part of each month when crowds are lower we have a strong and confusing mix of hit and miss. That may not seem like much, but it adds up over the course of the day. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a281949964937c0dd5b68aa2f924b585" );document.getElementById("fe7f78b4f3").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. So a major systematic error can really mess up a whole vacation plan. Having realistic expectations can be the key to a great day. In this post, well explain how to use the most accurate crowd calendar for Tokyo Disneyland and Tokyo DisneySea. (Updated November 1, 2022 .) Most runners will show up early rather than staying late. See ourGuide to Mardi Gras Crowds at Walt Disney Worldfor further insight, plus just how bad things were last year. Choosing a season that works best for you, has the most appealing entertainment, and has more favorable weather might be more important to you than +/- 10,000 people in the park. Kenny the Pirate. The New England-inspired location is very bright and open with lots of beach-themed details (Lily loved the sand castles on display). Also, it will save me from writing and then in August we see that COVID flattened attendance again and again on each park analysis. Lets take a look at the other upsides and downsides to visiting Walt Disney World in February. Thank you!!! Once youve pulled up the AOKSoft Tokyo Disneyland Crowd Calendar in that, its much easier to use. Our favorite week on balance would be the first week of February 2023, but you really cant go wrong with the dates that avoid the trio of holidays. The missing crowds here might mean that the boost wasnt as strong this year, but there are probably also some out-of-state visitors who might have taken a quick weekend trip in other years and decided to postpone travel in light of the post-holiday COVID surge. for our predictions there.) Adults cost $45 per person while children cost $29 per person . Wait times (and our observed crowd levels) went down as a result. Despite that, weve heard anecdotally that most youth events will be back this year. With everything going on right now are there going to be any forthcoming crowd calendar updates for February and beyond? Your email address will not be published. Disney itself does not publish crowd calendars. The Disney tourist blog crowd calendar scene is practically a cottage industry. 100 Years of Wonder Celebration kicks off at Disneyland Resort, Anaheim Convention Center (click for schedule), Ultimate Guide to Christmas at Disneyland, Ultimate Guide to HalloweenTime at Disneyland, read more about Christmas-time at Disneyland in our in-depth guide, attractions are best and the ones to experience, Tips for Saving Money on Disneyland Tickets, Mid-March through mid-April (Spring Break season), During weekends of large conventions at the. Disney Wait Time Data for Machine Learning and Data Science Projects TouringPlans and the Unofficial Guide book series have their roots in academia. Well, you learn something new everyday. We are trying to decide based on crowds. Now, this is only around 5 degrees better than January, but I think that makes a big difference. This can be invaluable information, and save you from juggling multiple browser windows as you plan your travel dates. Rain isnt as common in Disneyland as it is in Walt Disney World. Well, almost. Our What to Pack for Disney Trips post takes a unique look at clever items to take. The week before that is Spring Break for Orange County School District. This morning Oct 9 is no longer available (DL-first). While we prefer the beginning of the month, February 2023 will be great at the very end of the month overlapping with the beginning of March, when the weather starts to improve and crowds remain low. To compound matters, the following weekend is Princess Half Marathon Weekend, with official event dates of February 23-26, 2023. I dont recall any of you speaking up to defend our honor when we were faced with these same trials and tribulations, so turnabout is fair play, or something like that. Suffice to say, there are a lot of wildcards that make 2023 Disneyland crowd calendars are far less reliable than in normal years. In terms of other attractions that will be closed during February, check the Walt Disney World Refurbishment Schedule. Unfortunately, that type of crowd calendar is no longer accurate due to the aforementioned variables. You can access our Disneyland crowd calendars and monthly guides via the links below, each of which will open in a new browser tab: A few years ago, we rolled out crowd calendars for Disneyland that offered a day-by-day look at crowds with red, yellow, and green dates for heavy, moderate, and low attendance, respectively. They did have availability November 27- December 1, so we ended up booking those dates instead. I would have no hesitation to recommend this powerful spell caster to anybody who is in need of help.. Email: [emailprotected] Or Call/WhatsApp him on+2347011196745 . If you overpredict, maybe I get out of bed 10 mins earlier for rope drop than I needed to. Its because once you get a feel for FastPass priority, this is unnecessary. Is there rhyme or reason? Itll be interesting to see how all of this actually plays out. The lower the prediction, the less youll underpredict: if you predict a 1, you cannot underpredict, only over predict. Here's a list of all the special events happening in Disney World in 2022 (so far): Re-opening of the Festival of Fantasy parade Epcot's Festival of the Arts: January 14, 2022: February 21, 2022 Star Wars: Galactic Starcruiser resort: March 1, 2022 Epcot's Flower & Garden Festival: March 2, 2022 - July 4, 2022 Finding Nemo: The Big Blue.and Beyond Im choosing to go through time because it will help us see how park-level errors might be related to each other. Access to the full 365 day Crowd Calendar, Lines, 140+ Touring Plans and much more! Thank you for another great article. When we went for our anniversary 5 years ago everyone was commenting. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Rather than making bold and definitive proclamations, well cover the underlying variables that impact crowds so you can assess for yourself which dates are likely to be good or bad. I had to laugh when I read your comment-All of you Keymasters are now seeing what we Walt Disney World Passholders have been dealing with for the last year in terms of blockouts and managing reservations. Higher attendance means longer waits, and this will help you save time at Disney California Adventure and Disneyland. We also cover info & Someone zips down for a 4-day weekend in December and the weather is *outrageously* beautiful that particular weekend? Consequently, wed recommend avoiding February 17-26, 2023 if at all possible. This guide to February 2023 at Walt Disney World includes a free crowd calendar, weeks to visit & avoid, weather, seasonal events, and new attraction openings & closures. By strategizing well, you can accomplish more during a busy day with longer hours than during a shorter day with light crowds. Hopefully sooner rather than later. As with the TDL/TDS toggle buttons, its usually a proportionate change. For unique ideas of things thatll improve your trip, check out What to Pack for Disney. Using a Tokyo Disneyland crowd calendar is thus incredibly important for choosing your days in the parks to avoid long wait times, congested viewing areas for parades & fireworks, and more. In the heavy holiday seasons at the end of each month, we come back to a very familiar story. You'll also see: Each park's opening and closing times Any special events that might affect your visit This is especially true for planners relying on crowd calendars to choose dates for their dream vacations. Most schools have the week before Christmas until the shortly after New Years off, making this week-plus an especially busy time. We will be there for the first time on Valentines Day this year. Traditionally, January and February have been the biggest months for attraction downtime, as those are the low-season for crowds. They were most likely translating the Kanji that are used for the first syllable of the names of the days of the week. So many people, hard to navigate all parks, even Epcot & horrendous wait times. (Monsters Ride & Go Seek is on the left and Haunted Mansion is on the right; the rest should be self-explanatory.). If you were totally obsessive very detail-oriented like me and you tallied up a few different days, you might notice something odd. Tokyo Disney Resort actually *just* released an official app with all sorts of great infobut only to the Japanese app store. Our current plan was to go starting Feb 6th- Sunday( Hollywood), Monday (Epcot), and Wednesday( Animal Kingdom)? Wait times were terrible. We cover seasonal events, weather, park hours, Orlando travel trends, and factors impacting when to visit Florida's theme parks. Theres typically overlap among the top 3 districts in Southern California, which means their breaks are very bad, but confined to a small portion of the overall calendar. When will you be discussing this years crowds? All of this, plus info & tips for Magic Kingdom, EPCOT, Animal Kingdom, and Hollywood Studios. Are you planning a visit to Walt Disney World this year? I mean, I obviously cant speak to the precise attendance numbers being forecast, but the relative crowd levels from day to day were always accurate. Low to moderate crowds for most of the month, temperate weather, the parks looking good, and cheaper prices all make it a winner in our book. Obviously, these variables will also influence crowds. 18%. Click a day to view detailed park info. Any advice on day of the week for particular parks? This is Spring Break and Easter when crowds are usually very heavy, but to understand what happened with the calendar we need to remember where we were in pandemic time. More new attractions and entertainment will be debuting in 2023. In terms of special events, normally there is not much during February. Soil is the correct translation for Saturday (Dou-you-bi). Lets leave this dumpster fire of a month behind and move on. The only major thing is the continuation of the festival season over at EPCOT, with our favorite one of the year beginning in January and running through late February. That is a terrific question and we would have loved to be able to do that. Thats just 7%. The Epcot Festival of the Arts ran from January 14 to February 21, and that means that weekend crowds get a boost from locals. Hi Tom! Hi Tom Punctuality is a cultural thing, and its absolutely true that people line up early to enter the parks in Japan. Its going to be busy during whats historically a slower season, and thats even without new Magic Key sales. Re: overpredictions vs. underpredictions sounds to me like youre saying youd prefer to have rain in the forecast and carry an umbrella that you dont need than get wet after seeing that the report promised only sunny skies. What do you think the crowds will be like? And then everything was good. However, Disney World has not yet released the dates. Many readers loved these, and they certainly make it easier to see when Disneyland crowds will be good or bad at a glance. Make sure to pack some jeans, sweatshirts, and maybe even coats if traveling during the months of October through March. The only explanation is that I control how many reservations are available. For quality control a miss in either direction is bad, so the error calendars are orange and purple to avoid implying that green is good. Whatispossible is offering projections about specific date ranges relative to one another. If youre booking a February stay at a Disney resort-hotel, you can decide for yourself which hotel might be best by reading our Walt Disney World Hotel Reviews. Required fields are marked *. In general, February is a good month to visit Walt Disney World aside from weekends and holidays. However, on days that offer multiple showings of these entertainment offerings, the later showings are almost always less crowded. Any places that offer special recognition of birthdays? Consider your tolerance to cold, and weather youre willing to purchase countless $70 Mickey Mouse sweatshirts during your trip when, inevitably, members of your family get cold! Usually less busy days have shorter park hours and busier days have longer park hours. What is not accurate is the suggestion or belief that this is an everyday occurrence. 11. See more about January Disney World crowds here. The resort crowd level is calculated by removing the highest and lowest predictions for each park and averaging the rest. February (again, minus the confluence of Presidents Day, Mardi Gras, and the runDisney race) feels like the early year sweet spot between the holiday hangover of January and the Spring Break season of March. Thanks! Anyone who has visited Tokyo Disney Resort on a weekend and a weekday can probably attest to their weekday experience being noticeably less crowded and more pleasant. As such, thats what were presenting here: Overall, we are expecting Disneyland feels like crowds to be heavier throughout the remainder of 2022. Can you please publish the calendar for March? Nevertheless, there still are better and worse days/weeks/months to visit Disneyland, all of which are covered in our monthly guides. These free 2023 Walt Disney World crowd calendars rate dates so you can choose best times to go & avoid the worst, skipping long lines and high wait times. We know that the resort overall was operating at 35% capacity during this period, but that capacity wasnt evenly distributed among the parks. Hearing from you is half the fun, so please share your thoughts on these questions, or anything else, in the comments! Thanks for the detailed analysis. You might wonder why we didnt simply adjust our forecasts based on what we were seeing with capacity limitations. If we just had a visual crowd calendar graphic here, many of you would only look at that and not read the accompanying explanation that covers what you might actually expect. We see a similar hard limit with Hollywood Studios, and though we dont see it as clearly with Animal Kingdom, thats probably because our forecasts for Animal Kingdom were lower to start with. We need to lock in our vacation days and unfortunately June and July are really the only times we can go. Those two things will draw (but also absorb!) No! Arguably it was an even odder year at DLR than it was at WDW, since the resort didnt even reopen until the end of April. As someone who visited WDW twice in October, the impact of Delta on the state cannot be overstated. Interesting. You can see that for most days in this period all the parks are full except Epcot, and even Epcot is booked up for a few of them. Of course, in reality Disney was just responding to changes in the pandemic and in some cases like with plummeting attendance in August and September they had as little control over external forces as we did over their operational changes. The other half of the story, though, is that those ostensibly huge crowds outside are easily absorbed by the large parks once they open. Back in 2022 September 23rd ish, hope Disney has dining plans back on, if not what will we do for food? For official information concerning Disney, visit Disney.com. There are a lot of weeks throughout the year like this that we know will be better or worse based on various externalities. Thank you in advance. Weve also received a ton of questions from readers who had difficulty using the AOKSoft crowd calendar, which is only in Japanese. October definitely does not look as beautiful as September. The problem is that the park crowd levels are built starting from the attractions and working up. Specifically, here are the school districts that have the biggest impact on Disneyland attendance: Our crowd calendars take all of these districts into account, as their academic breaks and school schedules can have a significant impact on Disneyland attendance. Then theres the TRON Lightcycle Run roller coaster at Magic Kingdom, which will open by January 2023 if were lucky, and sometime around the start of the summer season if were unlucky. We no longer choose our own travel dates based upon crowd calendars and wed encourage you to do the same. Good article. Day. For most people, Presidents Day isnt a weeklong holiday, but in terms of crowds at Walt Disney World, it absolutely is. In mid-July we updated crowd levels for the rest of the summer to reflect these changes in attraction capacity. Additionally, February has slightly better weather than January. Really appreciate this retrospective. This is a good time to remind you that our crowd levels measure wait times and not the number of people in the parks. There are a few reasons why. Disneyland crowd calendars change regularly due to a variety of factors, including marketing, discounts, park hours, new attraction openings, special events, Anaheim Convention Center events, and even weather (good or bad). Weekdays almost always available including same day. I wouldnt have taken my kids to any parks this summer, but once theyre fully vaccinated I will feel pretty comfortable. Average Crowds. We want to book our trip as soon as possible! (Not as bad as Disneyland, though!). We will be there Feb 20-27 for my family members birthday on the 22nd. I am now hoping to go twice a year and stay 10-12 days. Day is actually Sunday which shouldve been translated to Sun since the word for Sunday is nichi-you-bi and nichi means sun. I didnt think revenge travel would run this hot for this long. As noted above, Mickey & Minnies Runaway Railway opensand the100 Years of Wonder Celebration kicks off at Disneyland Resort at the end of January 2023. You can read more about Christmas-time at Disneyland in our in-depth guide. (But seriously, Im always happy when people read all the way to the end of a monster article like this). To be honest, we dont use this anymore, but thats not because its inaccurate. Determine which attractions are best and the ones to experience, figure out where you want to eat in advance and dine at hours when the parks are busiest, and most importantly, arrive at the park before it opens and get as much done as you can in the first few hours of operation when lines are much shorter than they will be later in the day. You might feel like these results are surprising given how much time we just spent talking about where the calendars were struggling with accuracy, but remember that there were quite a few months when the calendars performed well its just that we zipped past them quickly in the analysis. (We hope to bring these crowd calendars back later in 2023, but wont do so until clear attendance trends have emerged and reservations are not regularly filling up.). For a Walt Disney World crowd calendar, there will almost always be four calendars grouped together: a Magic Kingdom crowd calendar, an Animal Kingdom crowd calendar, an Epcot crowd calendar, and a Hollywood Studios crowd calendar. 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